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Audits by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) for the year ended March 31, 2017, revealed the discrepancies, triggering large losses as the banks increased provisions. On adding IDBI Bank, which doesn’t feature among the biggest but got the largest chunk of a public bailout, the figure rises to about more than Rs 56,000 crore.
Hidden bad debt is a blow to the sector given that half of the country’s 22 state-run banks are already under the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) strict Prompt Corrective Action (PCA) programme that restricts lending and expansion. Asset quality may worsen as tighter regulations kick in this year and stress rises in the crucial power sector.
A few of the banks undergoing PCA may find it hard to survive, the RBI’s former deputy governor S S Mundra said. That increases reliance on loan recoveries from India’s new bankruptcy process, which reported its first big success this month but is running behind schedule amid multiple legal and logistical challenges.
Shares of Bank of India, which became the latest to report the divergence, slumped 4.4 per cent as of 1 pm on Tuesday. Loss tripled to Rs 3,970 crore for the quarter ended March 31, 2018, from Rs 1,050 crore a year earlier, the lender told the stock exchange late on Monday.
Bank of India now needs a “favorable outcome” — loan recoveries of about 50 per cent — from the bankruptcy process, Ravikant Bhat, an analyst at Emkay Global Financial Services, wrote in a note to clients. With conflicting reports on likely outcomes for the so-called ‘dirty dozen’ large delinquent firms undergoing the process, “our estimates continue to factor in higher haircuts,” he said.