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Gujarat polls 2017: BJP set to win big in Gujarat assembly polls: Times Now-VMR survey | India News

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NEW DELHI: A Times Now-VMR survey of voters in Gujarat has predicted a comfortable victory for BJP in the state, with Congress and other parties trailing the saffron party by around 15 per cent of the vote.

In the high stakes election in Gujarat, BJP is likely to fetch 118-134 seats, with Congress bagging anywhere between 49-61 seats.

The ruling BJP is predicted to get 52 per cent of votes against 37 per cent for Congress, with others finishing with 11 per cent of the vote share. The forecast sees BJP bettering its performance by 4 per cent as compared to the 2012 assembly polls, when it secured 48 per cent of votes. There is no noticeable change in seat share projections for Congress in 2017.

Image shows the seat share projections in Gujarat assembly polls 2017: Times Now-VMR survey

The survey is based on a sample size of 6,000 respondents spread across all regions of the state. The survey has a margin of error of plus, minus 3 per cent.

Times Now asked five broad questions to the respondents of the survey:

* Is the BJP’s Gujarat ‘Gaurav’ a winning slogan?

* Is Narendra Modi’s performance as Prime Minister a factor?

* Has Rahul Gandhi read the mood right?

* Can the BJP achieve mission-150?

* Who will win Gujarat polls?

The BJP tally, according to the survey, could better the 2012 results, as the party had won 115 seats with Narendra Modi as CM. Congress had won 61 seats in the 182-member House.

Gujarat’s support for PM Modi remains undiminished, with 81 per cent of the respondents saying they’ll continue to vote for the BJP, the survey said.

However, there is a noticeable drop in the BJP’s projected performance, when compared to its performance in the 2014 General Assembly elections. There is a noticeable drop in its vote share as well, from 60 per cent in 2014 to 52 per cent in 2017.

Earlier in the day, the Election Commission announced the dates for assembly election in Gujarat. The
polling
for the two-phase elections will take place on December 9 and 14, and votes will be counted on December 18.

Updated: October 25, 2017 — 9:28 pm

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